The Demand for Bad Policy When Voters Underappreciate Equilibrium E¤ects

نویسندگان

  • Ernesto Dal Bó
  • Pedro Dal Bó
  • Erik Eyster
چکیده

We study whether people fail to choose e¢ cient policies (or institutions) and the reasons why such failure may arise. More precisely, we experimentally show that a large proportion of people vote against policies that would help them overcome social dilemmas. In addition, we show that this is linked to subjects failing to fully anticipate the equilibrium e¤ects of policies. By eliciting subjects’beliefs about how others will behave under di¤erent policies, we show that inaccurate expectations of equilibrium behavior of others a¤ect voting. In addition, relying on a structural approach, we …nd a signi…cant share of subjects who do not anticipate how their own behavior will change with policy. This combined failure to anticipate the equilibrium consequences of policy drives a full majority, in average, to support bad policies, placing an important hurdle in the ability of groups to resolve social dilemmas through democratic means. JEL codes: C9, D7.

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تاریخ انتشار 2013